Search:        
Login     Free Registration     Subscribe     Special Offers     Help
Thursday August 28, 2008 5:51 AM ET |

YOUR RECENT QUOTES
Market Top 10
DJIA
11502.51UP
89.64
Nasdaq
2382.46UP
20.49
S&P 500
1281.66UP
10.15
Rus 2000
732.95UP
9.44
10 Yr Bd
3.76NO CHANGE
0.00
DJTA
5011.59UP
53.09
Wil 5000
13091.58UP
113.91
S&P 400
812.21UP
10.07
Nas 100
1900.30UP
13.98


Newsletters Sign up now for FREE
SmartMoney.com Newsletters

Enter your email address below
 
SmartMoney Home: Stocks: Trendspotting:

The Dumbest Guys in the Room

Trendspotting

The Dumbest Guys in the Room

By Igor Greenwald |Igor Greenwald Archive |Published: April 28, 2005
Stock Compare

See how the stocks on this page stack up.
  
Price Check Calculator

What's this stock really worth? Try our new valuation
calculator.
  
RSS Feeds
PrintPrint
SendSend
Buzz up this story
on Yahoo!
Listen to this site on my phone with Jott Feeds

GEORGE W. BUSH wears one. So do Lou Dobbs and Larry Kudlow. Don King has been known to sport two.

No costume jewelry makes a louder statement than a small national flag pinned to the lapel. Flags on buildings are public displays of our common patriotism. Flags on lapels, on the other hand, have evolved into authority symbols for politicians and table-pounders on basic cable.

An Old Glory miniature, attached to the breast, conspicuously claims for its owner an extra measure of patriotism. It also serves as a dead giveaway. I choose to believe nothing a flag wearer ever says about any market, unless it's the market for lapel pins.

Perhaps I'm overly sensitive to such displays having grown up in the former Soviet Union. Back in the USSR, the hammer-and-sickle was part of the Politburo dress code, an essential fashion accessory for any two-hour speech on the triumphs of collectivized agriculture.

Those farm reports papered over economic rot that would lead to the empire's breakup within a decade. And while I don't think we're headed for a Soviet-style collapse, I keep hearing echoes of those speeches in recent official pronouncements on the economy and the stock market.


We're another superpower living on credit, borrowing heavily to finance unsustainable consumption. Our terms of trade are deteriorating by the day, hastening payback. And the louder the murmurs of concern, the greater the temptation to recite the modern-day American equivalent of those Soviet farm reports. I'm referring, of course, to the latest earnings growth statistics. But in a pinch, any off-the-shelf nostrum will do, just as long as it points us to a happy ending.

CNBC's Ron Insana: "Now let me ask you a little bit about the stock market, though, because it's had such a bad week. Is it causing you any worry, at all, with respect to what it means to the economy or, you know, what it means to your Social Security reform plan, for instance?"

President Bush: "Well, I think the — you know, the stock market is an indicator of people looking at value. I believe this economy and I believe like most economists believe, that this economy is steady and strong. But people are constantly adjusting and I suspect some of the stock market has to do with the price of gasoline. You know, the price of crude oil tends to go up and the stock market tends to go down.

"But, nevertheless, I think long term, the stock market is, will reflect the long-term strength of America. I mean, we are, we're growing steadily. Relative to other economies, ours is a, ours is a strong economy as well. So, I mean, not only are [we] strong at home, but internationally we are competitively strong."

There, hope you feel better. Those huge trade and budget deficits now approaching 6% of the GDP? Nothing to worry about, long term. Larry Kudlow, who six weeks ago was singing the praises of "Bush's Supply Side Boom," believes it's our manifest destiny and birthright to fritter away the savings of Chinese peasants in perpetuity. But then that tiny lapel pin is a powerful mind control device.

Good thing Donald L. Kohn is free of such encumbrances (at least as far as I can see.) The Federal Reserve governor was blunt during a recent speech about the potential consequences of current economic trends:

"Although the overall state of the economy is favorable, some aspects of the current situation might be viewed as worrisome. In particular, beneath this placid surface are what appear to be a number of spending imbalances and unusual asset-price configurations. At the most aggregated level, the important imbalance is the large and growing discrepancy between what the United States spends and what it produces. This imbalance, measured by the current account deficit, has risen to a record level, both in absolute terms and as a ratio to GDP. Moreover, the cumulative value of past current account deficits — the net foreign indebtedness of the United States — is also at a record high, again both in absolute terms and as a ratio to GDP."



1
2
Next Page


Trackback URL for this story:

 
To license this content, click here

ADVERTISEMENTS